Archive for the ‘Homes Foreclosure’ Category

Appraisals: Changes and Problems

Thursday, September 10th, 2009

When a house goes into escrow, the buyer usually seeks a loan, which in turn requires an appraisal of the current market value of the property to ensure that the value is sufficient to cover the amount being loaned. The appraiser visits the site and inspects the home and also obtains the details of the  history of comparable houses sold in the neighborhood in recent months. There is reason to believe that before the housing market collapse of recent months, sometimes appraisers were influenced to assign unjustified high values to homes to allow the sales to go through at inflated prices. This may have been a contributing factor in the housing bubble.

The San Diego Union-Tribune reported last Sunday that a new code of conduct was instituted last May 1 by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac preventing lenders, mortgage brokers, and real estate agents from talking to appraisers directly. Although the intent of the rule was to prevent undue influence from being brought on appraisers, it may have significant adverse effects. Sometimes the appraisers are not local people or not familiar with the recent sale history of the neighborhood. They may miss evidence that the neighborhood is improving or appreciating, or be unaware of special features of the history of the subject house. The effect may be that the appraisal comes in inappropriately low. This may not only put the sale in jeopardy, but it may have an adverse effect on prices throughout the neighborhood. It may even create a downward spiral of local prices. There is a move in Congress to modify or delay the implementation of the new appraisal rules.

If You Have Received a Notice of Default

Thursday, August 27th, 2009

If you are one of many homeowners right now who have received a Notice of Default on your loan, please understand that you have options and that foreclosure is only one of those.

At Century 21 Sea Coast, in Encinitas , California, we have a team of experts who can explain your options to you and can help you choose the best way to solve your problems. If you are working with a lawyer on a loan modification, we can help you through the paperwork and answer any questions for you.

If you have decided that a loan modification is not the best answer for you, let us at Century 21 Sea Coast list your house as a Short Sale. Agents like Marilyn Dashe at Century 21 Sea Coast is experienced with helping both buyers and sellers with short sales. Our team has 100% success rate this year in getting short sales approved by the bank. And we can do it sometimes in record time (60 days or under to close the escrow).

We know the paperwork that the bank needs and we know how to present it to them. We are persistent in our follow-up and we can reach the property negotiators very quickly.

If you are having problems with your home and would like to discuss your options, please contact Marilyn Dashe at Century 21 Sea Coast in Encinitas to discuss what to do next. Marilyn Dashe serves buyers and sellers in Encinitas, Cardiff, Carlsbad, Vista, and San Marcos. We look forward to being in touch!

Decrease in Foreclosures in San Diego County

Tuesday, August 25th, 2009

The San Diego Union-Tribune reported today that total foreclosure sales in S.D. County decreased in July to 1307 from June’s 1630 and far below the July, 2008, record figure of 2004, from data of MDA DataQuick. Notices of default were also down slightly. Economists see a shift in the default/foreclosure epidemic from subprime loans to prime loans in higher priced neighborhoods, driven by unemployment.

This has resulted in more defaults in coastal communities such as Encinitas. However there are still more of the distressed properties in less expensive neighborhoods.

This may represent the first hint of stabilization of the local housing market,  but there is still concern that trouble will continue until unemployment begins to recede. Nevertheless, the distressed properties put downward pressure on prices, resulting in bargains appearing in coastal communities such as Encinitas, Cardiff, Carlsbad, and Oceanside.

Many San Diego Properties “Underwater”

Sunday, August 23rd, 2009

The San Diego Union-Tribune reported yesterday that it is estimated that up to 42.6% of the properties in San Diego County are “underwater,” that is, are worth less than the mortgage debt held against them. This is an estimate because it is based on theoretical home values in the neighborhoods. This is a common phenomenon throughout the country, but San Diego is said to be 12th among areas with populations over one million in the frequency of the underwater effect.

There is some controversy as to whether this will continue to get worse or will abate. Median prices in the county have risen from $280,000 in January to $320,000 in July, suggesting that the situation will improve.

When homes experience the “underwater” effect, the owners have several choices: They can continue to pay the mortgage if they are financially able, in the hope that the price of their home will rise. They can abandon their home and not pay the mortgage, but this has a major adverse effect on their credit. Or they can sell the home “short,” that is, for less than the debt against it, with the bank agreeing to accept the proceeds in lieu of full payoff of the debt, which has much less adverse effect on their credit.

According to local experts, people are often unaware of the market value of their home if they are not otherwise needing to sell, and they are very reluctant to give up their homes unless forced to by circumstances such as job loss, despite the loss in market value.

Short selling is often the best answer, and short sales have recently resulted in multiple offers, sometimes above the asking price.

Housing Market is Readjusting

Friday, August 21st, 2009

There were several pieces of news today about the housing market nationally. Sales of existing homes have increased 7.2% to an annual rate of 5.24 million in July, up from 4.89 million in June, according to the National Assoc. of Realtors. This is the fourth monthly increase in a row and represents the highest sale rate since August, 2007.

Ben Bernanke announced at a Fed. Reserve meeting in Wyoming that “The prospects for a return to growth in the near term appear good” in response to the news.

One of the driving forces of the increase in sales is lower prices. The median home price nationally is down 15.1% from a year ago.

At the same time, foreclosure rates are rising, led by Florida and California. Furthermore, foreclosures are no longer largely due to subprime loans. Prime, fixed rate loans now account for 33% of foreclosures, whereas a year ago they represented only 20%. These foreclosures are being driven by rising unemployment, which is expected to peak above 10%.

This is a very sad situation for the many people who have lost their jobs and are in line to lose their homes. But it is an opportunity for people with stable job situations, good stable incomes, and money for a downpayment. They can buy homes at reduced prices as the market adjusts to the recession and the recovery begins.

Good News for San Diego Real Estate

Thursday, August 20th, 2009

Yesterday, the San Diego Union Tribune reported on the meeting of the San Diego Association of Realtors. Lawrence Yun, the chief economist for the National Association of Realtors, stated at the meeting that San Diego and California are in the vanguard of a recovery in real estate. Prices are starting to recover and rise month by month and there has been a significant sales increase, up to 100% compared with last year. According to him this has been aided by the recent historically low mortgage interest rates (5.2-5.5% for 30 year fixed rate loans).

He also predicted that foreclosures will continue at high levels for the next 12 months, but that the lower prices, better affordability and  low interest rates have brought first-time buyers and other fence-sitters back into the market, contributing to the recovery.

He anticipates that interest rates will rise next year to 6%–higher–but still good compared with the levels of the last few decades. He feels that there is little likelihood of a double dip price drop.

This sounds like we have reached the bottom of the downturn in real estate locally. It would be a good time for people interested in buying in Cardiff, Encinitas, Carlsbad, Oceanside, Vista, or San Marcos to start shopping while interest rates are low, before prices begin to rise.

County Home Prices Have Bottomed Out

Tuesday, August 18th, 2009

New data from MDA DataQuick which monitors San Diego County home sales show that there has been a mild increase in prices and numbers of sales in July. The median price is up to $320,000 from the recent low of $280,000 in January. The number of sales was 3809, up 11% from July of 2008.

But experts do not predict  rapid appreciation to return. The rise in the median price was partly due to a larger contribution of move-up homes of over $500,000–27.9 % of sales as against the recent low of 17.5% in January. The percentage of sold homes that had been foreclosed has correspondingly dropped to 37.4% from the recent high of 55% in January. Still, most of the activity is interest from first-time buyers and investors in starter homes in the lower price range, resulting in multiple offers.

The inventory of available homes on the market has fallen to 8,889 from 13,268 last month, although part of the fall is due to a change of definition; short-sales waiting for lender approval are now called contingent sales instead of active. The inventory of homes to choose from is down because many potential sellers are holding their homes off the market because of the depressed prices, down 38% from the 2005 peak.

Overall it appears that the market has likely bottomed out, so it is a good time for interested buyers to start shopping. There are bargains available if you are interested in Cardiff, Encinitas, Carlsbad, Oceanside, Vista, or San Marcos.

A New Idea for Distressed Properties

Sunday, August 16th, 2009

There is a new idea for distressed properties being tried in our community. Instead of foreclosure, the property is sold to investors as a short sale–for less than the owners owe on the property. But this short sale is different: the buyers and sellers enter in to an agreement allowing the sellers to rent back the property for a fair market rental rate, including taxes, insurance, and utilities and property maintenance for 2-5 years. At the end of that time the original owners can buy the property back for a preagreed price higher than the short sale price but less than the original property debt.

A variation on this would be for the mortgage holder (the bank) to foreclose on the property, but to agree to lease the property back to the former owners for a few years until market prices recover, perhaps allowing the original owner to buy the property back from the bank at a later time.

The benefits are that the property would remain occupied and maintained, and perhaps the new investors would make a profit, or the bank would lose less money than in a foreclosure and sale. What is not clear is whether there are current owners who can afford the fair market lease payments on their properties, and whether banks would be interested in becoming landlords.

There is interest in the proposal in Congress with bills under consideration that would allow for banks to participate in such arrangements.

Tips on Negotiating Loan Modification

Sunday, August 16th, 2009

If you are having trouble paying your mortgage, you may be able to negotiate a loan modification, but it isn’t easy. You will have to deal with a loan servicer, and you may be on the phone a long time to get through, so try to allow enough free time to accomplish the task. Even when you make contact, it may take weeks before the mortgage holder will respond with a decision. You can get further information about whether you may qualify for a modification from the Treasury Dept. homeowners’ website: www.makinghomeaffordable.gov.

When you make contact with a loan servicer, try to get the name and re-contact information for the person. Ask for the name and contact information of the holder of your mortgage loan. Ask for a written copy of your payment history. Ask also for hard copies of any commitment made to you, especially of a loan modification or a cancellation of a foreclosure sale of your home. Keep records of all phone conversations you have with the servicer. If you think your rights are being violated, consider contacting a non-profit housing counselor or seek legal help. Housing counselors will help you for free; beware of services that offer to negotiate on our behalf for an upfront fee.

If you have no success in trying for a loan modification, consider the alternative of doing a “short sale.” This means you sell your house for less than you owe on it, but the bank takes the proceeds and excuses you from the rest of the debt. You still lose your house, but the adverse effect on your credit is much less than a foreclosure or bankruptcy. Contact a reliable real estate agent for details.

Foreclosures Are Up

Friday, August 14th, 2009

RISMEDIA-RealtyTrac reported on the national foreclosure situation for July, 2009 on August 13, and the news is not good. Foreclosures increased nationally by about 7% from the previous month and 32% from July of 2008. Both notices of default and bank repossessions are up. Nevada, California, and Arizona led the list of highest foreclosure rates, followed by Florida, Utah, Idaho, Georgia, Illinois, Colorado and Oregon. The top four states with the highest foreclosure activity in July were California, Florida, Arizona, and Nevada, and together these four states represented 57% of the national foreclosure numbers.

Several states have laws that have delayed foreclosure for up to 90 days, and this may influence the numbers by causing a rush of foreclosure activity at the end of a freeze period. Nonetheless the news is not good.

Perhaps the only people who might benefit from the high foreclosure rate would be new buyers, since foreclosures put downward pressure on prices, reducing the cost of buying a house.