Archive for the ‘First-Time Buyers’ Category

Appraisals: Changes and Problems

Thursday, September 10th, 2009

When a house goes into escrow, the buyer usually seeks a loan, which in turn requires an appraisal of the current market value of the property to ensure that the value is sufficient to cover the amount being loaned. The appraiser visits the site and inspects the home and also obtains the details of the  history of comparable houses sold in the neighborhood in recent months. There is reason to believe that before the housing market collapse of recent months, sometimes appraisers were influenced to assign unjustified high values to homes to allow the sales to go through at inflated prices. This may have been a contributing factor in the housing bubble.

The San Diego Union-Tribune reported last Sunday that a new code of conduct was instituted last May 1 by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac preventing lenders, mortgage brokers, and real estate agents from talking to appraisers directly. Although the intent of the rule was to prevent undue influence from being brought on appraisers, it may have significant adverse effects. Sometimes the appraisers are not local people or not familiar with the recent sale history of the neighborhood. They may miss evidence that the neighborhood is improving or appreciating, or be unaware of special features of the history of the subject house. The effect may be that the appraisal comes in inappropriately low. This may not only put the sale in jeopardy, but it may have an adverse effect on prices throughout the neighborhood. It may even create a downward spiral of local prices. There is a move in Congress to modify or delay the implementation of the new appraisal rules.

Real Estate Groups Lobby to Extend First-Time Buyers Tax Credit

Friday, August 28th, 2009

The $8000 non-repayable tax credit for first-time buyers is scheduled to expire 14 weeks from now. Will Congress let it expire? The National Association of Realtors and the National Association of Home Builders are working very hard right now to lobby Congress to extend the credit beyond the November 30th expiration date.

As it stands right now, first-time buyers must close their escrows by midnight of November 30th.That means they need to make their offers, get approved for a loan and get the funds, do all necessary investigations, and actually fund the loan and close the escrow. And as most buyers and sellers know, all of this is harder in this market.

The lobbying effort is targeting the two Congressional tax-writing committees, the House Ways and Means Committe, and Senate Finance. Delegations of real estate brokers and home builders are making their way to Congressional district offices to explain why the credit must be extended — number of houses sold attributable to the tax credit and the ripple effect on other industries.

According to economists at the National Association of Realtor, the credit will be responsible for 300,000 – 350,000 additional house sales this year. If we accept these numbers, we see that the housing credit provides a great return for the amount spent.

Congress may be listening. There are bills pending in both houses to extend the credit for another year. The L.A. Times reports that Senator Christopher Dodd, chairman of the Senate Banking Committee, is co-aponsoring a bill with Senator Johnny Isakson that would raise the credit amount to a maximum of $15,000.

It remains doubtful whether an extension can happen before the Nov. 30th deadline. But given the benefits of the housing credit, the odds favor some kind of extension.

First-Time Buyers Dominate the San Diego Real Estate Market

Thursday, August 27th, 2009

First-time buyers in Cardiff, Encinitas, Carsbad, Vista, and San Marcos — and everywhere else in San Diego County — are everywhere, coming out to take advantage of the market. Right now, for these buyers, there are properties at good prices (if they can move fast enough), low interest rates, and an $8000 first-time buyers tax credit waiting for them if they close their escrow before November 30, 2009.

But inventory is low in the price ranges often available to first-time buyers, and serious buyers must be pre-approved and ready to go when they see the property that they want.  There are often multiple offers on these properties within the first few days on the market, and buyers must be ready to “step to the plate,” write their offer, and work with their lender to get their loan approved quickly.

Realtors, like Marilyn Dashe at Century 21 Sea Coast in Encinitas, need to be available nearly 24/7 to respond to the needs of these first-time buyers. These buyers are tech-savvy and part of the internet generation who want instant gratification. They are educated and they don’t want to wait for answers.  They want realtors who can communicate with them through ongoing communication and text messaging.

First-time buyers in the North County of San Diego should take advante of this market ripe for them to buy something now. Call a realtor like Marilyn Dashe and get your search started.

Housing Prices, Other Indices Improve

Wednesday, August 26th, 2009

The San Diego Union Tribune reported today that several indices suggest that the housing recession may be improving. San Diego County sold home prices were up for a second month. The S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Index showed that prices are beginning to rise a little in most large US cities. The Federal Housing Finance Agency house price index rose slightly in May and June. And the Conference Board consumer confidence index rose in July.

Such data may have several beneficial effects on the housing market. Potential home buyers may enter the market, feeling that prices are likely to rise if they wait. Rising prices may encourage people to avoid default since they foresee restoration of equity in their homes.

Most of the increased sales are in lower priced  homes. Higher priced homes are not selling well. But among starter homes there are even cases of competitive bidding pushing the prices up.

This represents more evidence that the housing market is beginning to recover. It may be the ideal time for potential buyers to begin shopping before prices start to rise significantly.

Existing Home Sales Rise; Prices Stabilize

Tuesday, August 25th, 2009

The S%P/Case-Shiller U.S. National Home Price Index reported today by MSN Money showed a 7.2% rise nationally in existing-home sales in July, the biggest month over month increase since 1999. At the same time the Federal Housing Finance Agency quarterly report found prices in 300 cities fell less than 1% from prices in the first quarter. Most of these sales were in starter homes costing less than $250,000.

Analysts attribute the increased sales to the $8000 federal tax credit first-time buyer incentive, low interest rates, and the low prices brought on by the recession and the high foreclosure rate. The apparent stabilization of prices may indicate that the market may have hit bottom, at least in some regions of the country, and prices may be pushed up somewhat by the high interest of first-time buyers. There is pressure on Congress to extend the incentive until 2010 (it expires in Nov. 2009) and to cover buyers other than first-timers.

The obvious conclusion is that this is a good time for first-time buyers with stable finances to consider buying!

Decrease in Foreclosures in San Diego County

Tuesday, August 25th, 2009

The San Diego Union-Tribune reported today that total foreclosure sales in S.D. County decreased in July to 1307 from June’s 1630 and far below the July, 2008, record figure of 2004, from data of MDA DataQuick. Notices of default were also down slightly. Economists see a shift in the default/foreclosure epidemic from subprime loans to prime loans in higher priced neighborhoods, driven by unemployment.

This has resulted in more defaults in coastal communities such as Encinitas. However there are still more of the distressed properties in less expensive neighborhoods.

This may represent the first hint of stabilization of the local housing market,  but there is still concern that trouble will continue until unemployment begins to recede. Nevertheless, the distressed properties put downward pressure on prices, resulting in bargains appearing in coastal communities such as Encinitas, Cardiff, Carlsbad, and Oceanside.

Tax Credit Has Helped Increase Home Sales

Sunday, August 23rd, 2009

The San Diego Union-Tribune reported yesterday that monthly home sales increased significantly in July, up 7.25%. This is the largest monthly increase in 10 years and the best month since August, 2007.

Part of the cause of the increase is thought to be due to first-time buyers who accounted for 1/3 of the purchases. Qualified first-time buyers receive a tax credit up to $8000 on the purchase price of a home, but the credit expires  on Nov. 30 unless Congress extends it. It is unclear whether sales will fall when the credit expires.

This is an excellent opportunity for first-time buyers with stable jobs and incomes to get good houses at bargain rates and enjoy the additional benefit of the $8000 tax credit.

Housing Market is Readjusting

Friday, August 21st, 2009

There were several pieces of news today about the housing market nationally. Sales of existing homes have increased 7.2% to an annual rate of 5.24 million in July, up from 4.89 million in June, according to the National Assoc. of Realtors. This is the fourth monthly increase in a row and represents the highest sale rate since August, 2007.

Ben Bernanke announced at a Fed. Reserve meeting in Wyoming that “The prospects for a return to growth in the near term appear good” in response to the news.

One of the driving forces of the increase in sales is lower prices. The median home price nationally is down 15.1% from a year ago.

At the same time, foreclosure rates are rising, led by Florida and California. Furthermore, foreclosures are no longer largely due to subprime loans. Prime, fixed rate loans now account for 33% of foreclosures, whereas a year ago they represented only 20%. These foreclosures are being driven by rising unemployment, which is expected to peak above 10%.

This is a very sad situation for the many people who have lost their jobs and are in line to lose their homes. But it is an opportunity for people with stable job situations, good stable incomes, and money for a downpayment. They can buy homes at reduced prices as the market adjusts to the recession and the recovery begins.

Good News for San Diego Real Estate

Thursday, August 20th, 2009

Yesterday, the San Diego Union Tribune reported on the meeting of the San Diego Association of Realtors. Lawrence Yun, the chief economist for the National Association of Realtors, stated at the meeting that San Diego and California are in the vanguard of a recovery in real estate. Prices are starting to recover and rise month by month and there has been a significant sales increase, up to 100% compared with last year. According to him this has been aided by the recent historically low mortgage interest rates (5.2-5.5% for 30 year fixed rate loans).

He also predicted that foreclosures will continue at high levels for the next 12 months, but that the lower prices, better affordability and  low interest rates have brought first-time buyers and other fence-sitters back into the market, contributing to the recovery.

He anticipates that interest rates will rise next year to 6%–higher–but still good compared with the levels of the last few decades. He feels that there is little likelihood of a double dip price drop.

This sounds like we have reached the bottom of the downturn in real estate locally. It would be a good time for people interested in buying in Cardiff, Encinitas, Carlsbad, Oceanside, Vista, or San Marcos to start shopping while interest rates are low, before prices begin to rise.

Strategies for Getting a Mortgage

Tuesday, August 18th, 2009

Mortgage rates have fallen more than 32% since 2006 according to US News. The stimulus package offers a tax credit of $8000 to qualified first-time home buyers who have not owned a home in the past three years. All of these factors have encouraged first-time homeowners to buy and current homeowners to refinance.

Mortgage rates are low by historical standards–5-5.5% for conforming loans, and 6.34 -6.5% for jumbo loans (more than $417,000). If you are in the market for a mortgage, you should monitor the situation carefully. Interest rates are unlikely to fall further, but they should remain fairly stable for a while. If you are refinancing, consider locking in a rate if you can get one at least one full percentage point lower than your current rate.

Mortgages are harder to get now because banks have tightened criteria. You will get the best rates only if you have an excellent credit score, and you will have to document your income and have a significant amount of equity in your home. If you don’t qualify on these points, consider waiting and cleaning up your credit by paying off loans or credit cards and saving up for a larger downpayment.

When the time comes to look for financing, shop around for the best rate and the least fees and closing costs. Also, be patient. It now takes 6-8 weeks to close on a mortgage because of reductions in bank staffs and the large numbers of people seeking financing.